Bitcoin’s market cycles might link way closer to the US political calendar than most traders suspect based on fresh analysis from Alphractal founder Joao Wedson 🖤
In a July 30 post on X he revealed the flagship coin has slipped into bear phases ahead of every US midterm vote only to bounce back once polls close 🌙
Election Cycles Whisper Secrets to Bitcoin 🕸️
Wedson compared Bitcoin price history to US election cycles and uncovered a repeating sequence where BTC slips into bear territory roughly one year before midterms then launches into extended bulls right after votes finish ✨ In some rounds bottoms hit days before elections while others formed shortly after polls closed
He noted presidential races spark different vibes with Bitcoin pumping hard after each win before hitting major tops soon after inauguration 🦇
“Data reveals patterns that narratives often miss” wrote the analyst
According to Wedson XRP shows an even sharper pattern kicking off a steep rally exactly on Donald Trump winning the 2024 election and peaking locally on January 20 2025 the day of inauguration
His views align with earlier Binance Research findings that BTC tends to struggle in midterm years but gains once political uncertainty clears 🔗
Bitcoin dropped an average 56% during completed midterm cycles since 2014 before delivering average gains around 54% in the following year 📉
Wedson had pointed out earlier that while some think Bitcoin already hit bottom a price recovery alone fails to confirm any structural shift 💀
There must be clear capitulation deleveraging and fresh capital from short term holders before reaching that call
Macro Winds Might Echo The Past 🔮
There is still about 3 months until Americans vote and BTC currently hovers near the 64000 level which sits nearly 50% below the October 2025 all time high over 126000 with recent data showing a 2.5% dip over 7 days 🕷️
Yet it remains up nearly 8% over the past month after the latest Federal Reserve choice to hold rates steady at 3.50% to 3.75%
Just another echo from the void by iconofsin.eth 💖
